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Tuesday, June 01, 2010
The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Book Review)
I can't pretend that I've absorbed even half of what's in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's The Black Swan, but I feel wiser for having read it. This book is all about unpredictability, randomness, and the fundamental problem of forecasting -- that we believe past events repeat more than they do and that there is more order to actions than there really is.
After establishing the extent to which uncertainty figures in our lives, the author pulls back and offers up some ways to approach uncertainty and still live productively and without undue anxiety.
In the spirit of the text, I can't predict with any certainty that you'll like this, but I recommend it anyway!