Monday, October 13, 2008

Beyond Polling: Presidential Projections and Futures

I've comes across two interesting websites that project the upcoming presidential election in very different ways:

FiveThirtyEight.com - A monster polling tracker and aggregator, FiveThirtyEight.com accumulates and analyzes polling and political data and provides keen assessments of the likely outcomes of upcoming elections.

Iowa Electronic Markets - The Iowa Electronic Markets are small-scale, real-money futures markets where contract payoffs depend on economic and political events such as elections. Perhaps the most popular IEM markets are the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election Markets, where contract payoffs will be determined by the popular vote cast in the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election.

1 comment:

  1. Alan S4:48 PM

    Hi Frank - here's another pretty good future site - lots of interesting view to the data, including an interactive state-by-state map.

    http://www.intrade.com/

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